The Cost of Change

Yet, as a climate advocate, I seldom hear about these costs. Instead, I hear about the costs of responding to climate change. I suppose that's how the political process works: no politician wants to take the credit for raising our energy bills or gasoline prices. During one meeting this week, a Senate staffer explained his skepticism about federal climate change legislation, declaring that his boss "doesn't want to drive the US economy over a cliff."
Frankly, I don't think responding to climate change is what's going to drive our economy over a cliff. Doing nothing, however, just might. And on this point, EPA and I seem to be in agreement. About a week ago, EPA released it's analysis of the Lieberman-Warner bill – and the report confirmed what we knew all along: we can cut our greenhouse gas emissions by nearly 60% without harming the U.S. economy. As Senator Warner (the Bills Republican sponsor) says, "You can control greenhouse gas emissions in a manner that leaves the economy whole and is not burdensome on consumers.”
In fact, EPA forecast that U.S. GDP would grow by some 80 percent between 2010 and 2030 under the bill -- only 1 percent below what it would otherwise have been. In other words, national climate change legislation will only modestly slow a thriving economy.
And that's only half the story. The EPA analysis assumes the U.S. economy will continue to grow unabated absent climate change legislation. In other words, the baseline disregards the costs of climate change. It disregards the rising seas and dying forests and failing agriculture. It disregards the cost of responding to hurricanes and elevating houses. And yet, in one basic regard, EPA and I agree: responding to climate change will not drive the U.S. economy over a cliff.
[For more on the EPA analysis, check out EDF's blog: "How Much Will It Cost To Save the World."]
I'm not as happy as I used to be.
I'm not an economist, but I know the basics:






